Professor Federico Girosi

Professor Federico Girosi

Adjunct Professor,
Translational Health Research Institute

Professor,
Translational Health Research Institute

Biography

Federico Girosi is a Professor with the Translational Health Research Institute,  Western Sydney University and the Chief Scientist of the Digital Health  CRC. Dr. Girosi is a health economist and a data scientist whose interests span a wide range of topics. He is currently working in collaboration with federal and state organizations, as well with the private sector, on projects that apply data analytics to the solution of problems of immediate interest. Examples of his current projects include the development of a microsimulation for the prediction of health and health care utilization under different policy scenarios, the detection of clusters and anomalies in health trajectories, the design of customizable catchment areas and the analysis of the role of chronic conditions in the DRG hospital payment system. He is also a Chief Investigator in three NHMRC  sponsored projects: two that studies ways to manage ear infections in urban Aboriginal Children and one that looks at the booking gestational diabete. Dr. Girosi is also involved in research in the burden of eating disorders and in the evaluation of labor and birth programs. 

Dr. Girosi earned a Ph.D. in Health Policy from Harvard University in 2003, and worked 8 years at the RAND Corporation (Santa Monica, U.S.A.). His best known RAND project was the development of the COMPARE microsimulation, which was used to evaluate the impact of health care reform commonly known as "Obamacare".  He also holds a Ph.D. in Physics from the University of Genoa, Italy, and conducted research for 10 years at the Artificial Intelligence Laboratory at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT) in the areas of machine learning and computer vision. Dr. Girosi has published in a number of peer-reviewed international journals, including the New England Journal of Medicine, Health Affairs, Nature, Science and the Proceedings of the Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers. He is also the author of a book, published by Princeton University Press in 2008 and co-authored by Gary King, entitled "Demographic Forecasting".

This information has been contributed by Professor Girosi.

Organisational Unit (School / Division)

  • Translational Health Research Institute
  • Translational Health Research Institute

Contact

Email: F.Girosi@westernsydney.edu.au
Phone:
Mobile:
Location:

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Publications

Books

  • Girosi, F. and King, G. (2008), 'Demographic Forecasting', : Princeton University Press 9780691130958.

Chapters in Books

  • Hurd, M., Zheng, Y., Girosi, F. and Goldman, D. (2011), 'The effects of tobacco control policy on the Social Security trust fund', After Tobacco: What Would Happen if Americans Stopped Smoking?, Columbia University Press 9780231157766.

Journal Articles

  • Tannous, K., Hay, P., Girosi, F., Heriseanu, A., Ahmed, M. and Touyz, S. (2022), 'The economic cost of bulimia nervosa and binge eating disorder : a population-based study', Psychological Medicine, vol 52, no 16 , pp 3924 - 3938.
  • Walsh, R., Reath, J., Gunasekera, H., Leach, A., Kong, K., Askew, D., Girosi, F., Hu, W., Usherwood, T., Lujic, S., Spurling, G., Morris, P., Watego, C., Harkus, S., Woodall, C., Tyson, C., Campbell, L., Hussey, S. and Abbott, P. (2022), 'INFLATE : a protocol for a randomised controlled trial comparing nasal balloon autoinflation to no nasal balloon autoinflation for otitis media with effusion in Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander children', Trials, vol 23, no 1 .
  • Suleiman, M., Demirhan, H., Boyd, L., Girosi, F. and Aksakalli, V. (2022), 'Bayesian prediction of emergency department wait time', Health Care Management Science, vol 25, no 2 , pp 275 - 290.
  • Mazumdar, S., Bagheri, N., Chong, S., McRae, I., Jalaludin, B. and Girosi, F. (2021), 'Diabetes and the use of primary care provider services in rural, remote and metropolitan Australia', Rural and Remote Health, vol 21, no 3 .
  • Esmaili, N., Buchlak, Q., Piccardi, M., Kruger, B. and Girosi, F. (2021), 'Multichannel mixture models for time-series analysis and classification of engagement with multiple health services : an application to psychology and physiotherapy utilization patterns after traffic accidents', Artificial Intelligence in Medicine, vol 111 .
  • Suleiman, M., Demirhan, H., Boyd, L., Girosi, F. and Aksakalli, V. (2020), 'Incorporation of expert knowledge in the statistical detection of diagnosis related group misclassification', International Journal of Medical Informatics, vol 136 .
  • Suleiman, M., Demirhan, H., Boyd, L., Girosi, F. and Aksakalli, V. (2020), 'A clinical coding recommender system', Knowledge-Based Systems, vol 210 .
  • Levett, K., Lord, S., Dahlen, H., Smith, C., Girosi, F., Downe, S., Finlayson, K., Fleet, J., Steen, M., Davey, M., Newnham, E., Werner, A., Arnott, L., Sutcliffe, K., Seidler, A., Hunter, K. and Askie, L. (2020), 'The AEDUCATE collaboration : comprehensive antenatal education birth preparation programmes to reduce the rates of caesarean section in nulliparous women : protocol for an individual participant data prospective meta-analysis', BMJ Open, vol 10, no 9 .
  • Mazumdar, S., Bagheri, N., Konings, P., Chong, S., Jalaudin, B., Girosi, F. and McRae, I. (2019), 'Measuring relationships between doctor densities and patient visits : a dog's breakfast of small area health geographies', Applied Spatial Analysis and Policy, vol 12, no 3 , pp 631 - 645.
  • Suleiman, M., Haydar, D., Boyd, L., Girosi, F. and Aksakalli, V. (2019), 'Bayesian logistic regression approaches to predict incorrect DRG assignment', Health Care Management Science, vol 22, no 2 , pp 364 - 375.
  • Marashi, A., Ghassem Pour, S., Li, V., Rissel, C. and Girosi, F. (2019), 'The association between physical activity and hospital payments for acute admissions in the Australian population aged 45 and over', PLoS One, vol 14, no 6 .
  • Fiorini, S., Hajati, F., Barla, A. and Girosi, F. (2019), 'Predicting diabetes second-line therapy initiation in the Australian population via time span-guided neural attention network', PLoS One, vol 14, no 10 .
  • Levett, K., Dahlen, H., Smith, C., Finlayson, K., Downe, S., Downe, S. and Girosi, F. (2018), 'Cost analysis of the CTLB Study, a multitherapy antenatal education programme to reduce routine interventions in labour', BMJ Open, vol 8, no 2 .
  • Atlantis, E., Ghassem Pour, S. and Girosi, F. (2018), 'Incremental predictive value of screening for anxiety and depression beyond current type 2 diabetes risk models : a prospective cohort study', BMJ Open, vol 8, no 1 .
  • Hajati, F., Atlantis, E., Bell, K. and Girosi, F. (2018), 'Patterns and trends of potentially inappropriate high-density lipoprotein cholesterol testing in Australian adults', BMJ Open, vol 8, no 3 .
  • Simmons, D., Hague, W., Teede, H., Cheung, N., Hibbert, E., Nolan, C., Peek, M., Girosi, F., Cowell, C., Wong, V., Flack, J., McLean, M., Dalal, R., Robertson, A. and Rajagopal, R. (2018), 'Hyperglycaemia in early pregnancy : the Treatment of Booking Gestational diabetes Mellitus (TOBOGM) study : a randomised controlled trial', Medical Journal of Australia, vol 209, no 9 , pp 11 - 16.
  • Luz, F., Sainsbury, A., Mannan, H., Touyz, S., Mitchison, D., Girosi, F. and Hay, P. (2018), 'An investigation of relationships between disordered eating behaviors, weight/shape overvaluation and mood in the general population', Appetite, vol 129 , pp 19 - 24.
  • John, J., Ghassempour, S., Girosi, F. and Atlantis, E. (2018), 'The effectiveness of patient-centred medical home model versus standard primary care in chronic disease management : protocol for a systematic review and meta-analysis of randomised and non-randomised controlled trials', Systematic Reviews, vol 7, no 1 .
  • Daniels, B., Girosi, F., Tervonen, H., Kiely, B., Lord, S., Houssami, N. and Pearson, S. (2018), 'Adherence to prescribing restrictions for HER2-positive metastatic breast cancer in Australia : a national population-based observational study (2001-2016)', PLoS One, vol 13, no 7 .
  • Esmaili, N., Piccardi, M., Kruger, B. and Girosi, F. (2018), 'Analysis of healthcare service utilization after transport-related injuries by a mixture of hidden Markov models', PLoS One, vol 13, no 11 .
  • Pinzari, L., Mazumdar, S. and Girosi, F. (2018), 'A framework for the identification and classification of homogeneous socioeconomic areas in the analysis of health care variation', International Journal of Health Geographics, vol 17, no 1 .
  • Mulders-Jones, B., Mitchison, D., Girosi, F. and Hay, P. (2017), 'Socioeconomic correlates of eating disorder symptoms in an Australian population-based sample', PLoS One, vol 12, no 1 .
  • Hart, M. and Girosi, F. (2017), 'Health issues and services : a complex socio-cognitive-technical system', International Journal of Social Science and Humanity, vol 7, no 5 , pp 304 - 308.
  • Mazumdar, S., Pinzari, L., Bagheri, N., Konings, P., Girosi, F. and McRae, I. (2017), 'A new generation of Primary Care Service Areas or general practice catchment areas', Transactions in GIS, vol 21, no 6 , pp 1379 - 1390.
  • Tran, B., Falster, M., Girosi, F. and Jorm, L. (2016), 'Relationship between use of general practice and healthcare costs at the end of life : a data linkage study in New South Wales, Australia', BMJ Open, vol 6 .
  • Abbott, P., Gunasekera, H., Leach, A., Askew, D., Walsh, R., Girosi, F., Lujic, S., Hu, W., Reath, J. and et al, .. (2016), 'A multi-centre open-label randomized non-inferiority trial comparing watchful waiting to antibiotic treatment for acute otitus media without perforation in low-risk urban Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander children (the WATCH trial) : study protocol for a randomised controlled trial', Trials, vol 17 .
  • Mazumdar, S., Butler, D., Bagheri, N., Konings, P., Girosi, F., Feng, X. and McRae, I. (2016), 'How useful are primary care service areas? : evaluating PCSAs as a tool for measuring primary care practitioner access', Applied Geography, vol 72 , pp 47 - 54.
  • Hay, P., Girosi, F. and Mond, J. (2015), 'Prevalence and sociodemographic correlates of DSM-5 eating disorders in the Australian population', Journal of Eating Disorders, vol 3 .
  • Ghassem Pour, S., Girosi, F. and Maeder, A. (2014), 'Clustering multivariate time series using hidden markov models', International Journal of Environvmental Resesearch and Public Health, vol 11, no 3 , pp 2741 - 2763.
  • Mazumdar, S., Feng, X., Konings, P., McRae, I. and Girosi, F. (2014), 'A brief report on Primary Care Service Area catchment geographies in New South Wales Australia', International Journal of Health Geographics, vol 13, no 1 .
  • Feng, X., Girosi, F. and McRae, I. (2014), 'People with multiple unhealthy lifestyles are less likely to consult primary healthcare', BMC Family Practice, vol 15, no 126 .
  • Cordova, A., Eibner, C., Vardavas, R., Broyles, J. and Girosi, F. (2013), 'Modeling employer self-insurance decisions after the Affordable Care Act', Health Services Research, vol 48, no 2 Part II , pp 850 - 865.
  • Cordova, A., Girosi, F., Nowak, S., Eibner, C. and Finegold, K. (2013), 'The COMPARE microsimulation model and the U.S. Affordable Care Act', International Journal of Microsimulation, vol 6, no 3 , pp 78 - 117.
  • Eibner, C., Price, C., Vardavas, R., Cordova, A. and Girosi, F. (2012), 'Small firms' actions in two areas, and exchange premium and enrollment impact', Health Affairs, vol 31, no 2 , pp 324 - 331.
  • Eibner, C., Girosi, F., Price, C. and McGlynn, E. (2011), 'Grandfathering in the small group market under the Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act : effects on offer rates, premiums, and coverage', Rand Health Quarterly, vol 1, no 3 , pp 16 - .
  • Eibner, C., Girosi, F., Miller, A., Cordova, A., McGlynn, E., Pace, N., Price, C., Vardavas, R. and Gresenz, C. (2011), 'Employer self-insurance decisions and the implications of the patient protection and Affordable Care Act as modified by the Health Care and Education Reconciliation Act of 2010 (ACA)', Rand Health Quarterly, vol 1, no 2 .
  • Auerbach, D., Nowak, S., Ringel, J., Girosi, F., Eibner, C., McGlynn, E. and Wasserman, J. (2011), 'The impact of the coverage-related provisions of the Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act on insurance coverage and state health care expenditures in Connecticut : an analysis from Rand Compare', Rand Health Quarterly, vol 1, no 2 .
  • Eibner, C., Girosi, F., Price, C., Cordova, A., Hussey, P., Beckman, A. and McGlynn, E. (2011), 'Establishing state health insurance exchanges : implications for health insurance enrollment, spending, and small businesses', Rand Health Quarterly, vol 1, no 3 .
  • Eibner, C., Hussey, P. and Girosi, F. (2010), 'The effects of the affordable care act on workers' health insurance coverage', New England Journal of Medicine, vol 365, no 15 , pp 1393 - 1395.
  • Mcglynn, E., Cordova, A., Wasserman, J. and Girosi, F. (2010), 'Could we have covered more people at less cost? : technically, yes ; politically, probably not', Health Affairs, vol 29, no 6 , pp 1142 - 1146.
  • Ringel, J., Eibner, C., Girosi, F., Cordova, A. and Mcglynn, W. (2010), 'Modeling health care policy alternatives', Health Services Research, vol 45, no 5 , pp 1541 - 1558.
  • Goldman, D., Zheng, Y., Girosi, F., Michaud, P., Olshansky, S., Cutler, D. and Rowe, J. (2009), 'The benefits of risk factor prevention in Americans aged 51 years and older', American Journal of Public Health, vol 99, no 11 , pp 2096 - 2101.
  • Girosi, F., Olmsted, S., Keeler, E., Hay Burgess, D., Lim, Y., Aledort, J., Rafael, M., Ricci, K., Boer, R., Hilborne, L., Pitkin Derose, K., Shea, M., Beighley, C., Dahl, C. and Wasserman, J. (2006), 'Developing and interpreting models to improve diagnostics in developing countries', Nature, vol 444 , pp 3 - 8.
  • Lim, Y., Steinhoff, M., Girosi, F., Holtzman, D., Campbell, H., Boer, R., Black, R. and Mulholland, K. (2006), 'Reducing the global burden of acute lower respiratory infections in children: the contribution of new diagnostics', Nature, vol 444 , pp 9 - 18.
  • Ricci, K., Girosi, F., Tarr, P., Lim, Y., Mason, C., Miller, M., Hughes, J., von Seidlein, L., Agosti, J. and Guerrant, R. (2006), 'Reducing stunting among children: the potential contribution of diagnostics', Nature, vol 444 , pp 29 - 38.
  • Aledort, J., Ronald, A., Rafael, M., Girosi, F., Vickerman, P., Le Blancq, S., Landay, A., Holmes, K., Ridzon, R., Hellmann, N., Shea, M. and Peeling, R. (2006), 'Reducing the burden of sexually transmitted infections in resource-limited settings: the role of improved diagnostics', Nature, vol 444 , pp 59 - 72.
  • Keeler, E., Perkins, M., Small, P., Hanson, C., Reed, S., Cunningham, J., Aledort, J., Hillborne, L., Rafael, M., Girosi, F. and Dye, C. (2006), 'Reducing the global burden of tuberculosis: the contribution of improved diagnostics', Nature, vol 444 , pp 49 - 57.
  • Rafael, M., Taylor, T., Magill, A., Lim, Y., Girosi, F. and Allan, R. (2006), 'Reducing the burden of childhood malaria in Africa: the role of improved', Nature, vol 444 , pp 39 - 48.
  • Hillestad, R., Bigelow, J., Bower, A., Girosi, F., Meili, R., Scoville, R. and Taylor, R. (2005), 'Can electronic medical record systems transform health care? Potential health benefits, savings, and costs', Health Affairs, vol 24, no 5 , pp 1103 - 1117.
  • Taylor, R., Bower, A., Girosi, F., Bigelow, J., Fonkych, K. and Hillestad, R. (2005), 'Promoting Health Information Technology: Is There A Case For More-Aggressive Government Action?', Health Affairs, vol 24, no 5 , pp 1234 - 1245.

Conference Papers

  • Mathai, M., Ginige, A., Srinivasan, U. and Girosi, F. (2019), 'Building digital knowledge system through mobile interfaces : the case study of mobile application for diabetes management', International Conference on Software Engineering and Information Management, Bali, Indonesia.
  • Mathai, M., Ginige, A., Srinivasan, U. and Girosi, F. (2019), 'Architecture for mobile based information system that empowers users to self-manage type 2 diabetes', International Conference for Convergence in Technology, Pune, India.
  • Mathai, M., Ginige, A., Srinivasan, U. and Girosi, F. (2019), 'A framework to generate actionable information for mobile based information system that empowers users to self-manage type 2 diabetes', International Conference for Convergence in Technology, Pune, India.
  • Mathai, M., Ginige, A., Srinivasan, U. and Girosi, F. (2017), 'Digital knowledge ecosystem for empowering users to self-manage diabetes through context specific actionable information', GPC (Conference), Cetara, Italy.
  • Ghassem Pour, S. and Girosi, F. (2016), 'Joint prediction of chronic conditions onset : comparing multivariate probits with multiclass support vector machines', CoPA (Symposium) (5th : 2016 : Madrid, Spain), Madrid, Spain.
  • Chawla, S., Girosi, F. and Fei, W. (2014), 'Data science and the policy completion problem', Workshop on Data Science for Social Good, New York, N.Y..

Other Publications

  • 2016, 'Taking Healthcare Home', Report
  • 2012, 'Paying the Price: The Economic and Social Impact of Eating Disorders in Australia', Report

Previous Projects

Title: Randomised controlled trial of antimicrobial treatment versus watchful waiting for acute otitis media without perforation in low risk Aboriginal children
Funder:
  • National Health and Medical Research Council (ACRG)
  • National Health and Medical Research Council (ACRG)
  • National Health and Medical Research Council (ACRG)
Western Researchers: Jennifer Reath, Penny Abbott, Federico Girosi and Wendy Hu
Years: 2013-10-01 - 2019-09-30
ID: P00020890
Title: National Centre for Geographic and Resource Analysis in Primary Health Care (GRAPHC)
Funder:
  • Department of Health (non ACRG)
Western Researchers: Louisa Jorm and Federico Girosi
Years: 2012-07-01 - 2015-12-31
ID: P00021008
Title: Risk Assessment and Delivery of a Low Intensity Intervention for Pain and Anxiety Following Motor Vehicle Accidents
Funder:
  • Motor Accidents Authority
Western Researchers: Kathryn Nicholson Perry and Federico Girosi
Years: 2012-10-01 - 2014-10-31
ID: P00020703
Title: Capital Markets CRC (CMCRC) PhD Scholarship - Michael Hart
Funder:
  • RoZetta Institute Limited
Western Researchers: Federico Girosi
Years: 2015-02-23 - 2018-09-22
ID: P00022745
Title: Capital Markets CRC (CMCRC) PhD Scholarship - Farshid Hajati - Analysis of health trajectories using administrative data
Funder:
  • RoZetta Institute Limited
Western Researchers: Federico Girosi
Years: 2015-06-18 - 2019-05-17
ID: P00022914
Title: Capital Markets CRC (CMCRC) PhD Scholarship - Seyedamir Marashi - Machine learning methods for the definition of more efficient Australian refined diagnosis-related groups (AR-DRGs)
Funder:
  • RoZetta Institute Limited
Western Researchers: Federico Girosi
Years: 2015-08-03 - 2019-02-02
ID: P00022985
Title: Randomised controlled trial of antimicrobial treatment versus watchful waiting for acute otitis media without perforation in low risk Aboriginal children
Funder:
  • University of Sydney
Western Researchers: Jennifer Reath, Federico Girosi and Wendy Hu
Years: 2016-09-06 - 2017-08-29
ID: P00023731
Title: A multi-centre randomised controlled trial to compare nasal balloon autoinflation versus no nasal balloon autoinflation for otitis media with effusion in Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander children (the INFLATE trial)
Funder:
  • National Health and Medical Research Council (ACRG)
Western Researchers: Penny Abbott, Jennifer Reath, Federico Girosi and Wendy Hu
Years: 2017-01-01 - 2022-12-31
ID: P00023308
Title: The Treatment Of BOoking Gestational diabetes Mellitus Study: The TOBOGM study
Funder:
  • National Health and Medical Research Council (ACRG)
Western Researchers: David Simmons and Federico Girosi
Years: 2016-01-01 - 2022-12-31
ID: P00022700
Title: Capital Markets CRC (CMCRC) PhD Scholarship - Ludovico Pinzari - Development of tools for the design of customisable catchment areas and the analysis of geographic variation in health care
Funder:
  • RoZetta Institute Limited
Western Researchers: Federico Girosi
Years: 2016-02-01 - 2019-06-30
ID: P00023226
Title: Microsimulation model for the estimation of costs and benefits of health policy scenarios in the Australian population over age 45
Funder:
  • RoZetta Institute Limited
Western Researchers: Federico Girosi and Shima Ghassem Pour
Years: 2014-10-01 - 2017-09-30
ID: P00022521

Supervision

Current Supervision

Thesis Title: Adaptive Data Mining Approach for Anomalous Records in Admission Data
Field of Research:

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